Game Result Predictions
Tuesday, March 19
The R1 Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Los Angeles, CA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
San Diego State (32-25, Road 12-11) |
1 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | 9 | ✔ | 3 | +2.0 | 36% | ✔ | |
|
Loyola-Marymount (34-25, Home 17-11) |
5 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 6 (-3) |
5 | -2.0 | 64% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Nashville, TN | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Air Force (26-26, Road 9-14) |
6 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | 12 | ✔ | 4 | +3.5 | 31% | ✔ | |
|
Nebraska (32-24, Home 13-6) |
7 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | Actual: 13 (1) |
7 | -3.5 | 69% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Reno, NV | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Saint Mary's College (35-22, Road 11-17) |
5 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | 9 | ✘ | 4 | -1.0 | 57% | ✘ | |
|
Nevada (30-26, Home 14-12) |
6 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | Actual: 11 (2) |
3 | +1.0 | 43% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Albuquerque, NM | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Oklahoma (33-23, Road 15-11) |
8 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 11 | ✔ | 5 | -1.0 | 57% | ✔ | |
|
New Mexico (23-28-1, Home 14-16) |
1 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | Actual: 9 (-2) |
4 | +1.0 | 43% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Stockton, CA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Fresno State (40-16-1, Road 18-8) |
17 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 11 | ✔ | 8 | -6.5 | 83% | ✔ | |
|
Pacific (23-26, Home 13-10) |
2 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | Actual: 19 (8) |
1 | +6.5 | 17% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Sacramento, CA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
San Jose State (20-34, Road 8-24) |
2 | 3 | +3.0 | 39% | 9 | ✔ | 1 | +6.0 | 20% | ✔ | |
|
Sacramento State (40-25, Home 22-7) |
7 | 6 | -3.0 | 61% | Actual: 9 (0) |
7 | -6.0 | 80% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Paradise, NV | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Cal State Northridge (23-32, Road 7-18) |
5 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | 13 | ✔ | 5 | +2.0 | 36% | ✔ | |
|
UNLV (29-29, Home 19-12) |
6 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 11 (-2) |
7 | -2.0 | 64% | |||